Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.704446 3.946359 4.203490 4.498420 4.828964 5.189900 5.616442
2025-10-19 3.360242 3.704225 4.091677 4.565575 5.136916 5.813490 6.691103
2025-10-26 3.139394 3.536074 3.999829 4.591948 5.343217 6.287632 7.605489
2025-11-02 2.949692 3.375464 3.887249 4.562601 5.454904 6.633320 8.385305
2025-11-09 2.755178 3.188834 3.720669 4.439784 5.419531 6.764302 8.869648
2025-11-16 2.609852 3.050747 3.601124 4.361747 5.427603 6.944612 9.442452
2025-11-23 2.529642 2.987994 3.571004 4.395924 5.588212 7.356236 10.445281
2025-11-30 2.449873 2.919733 3.527139 4.404507 5.708218 7.715859 11.428868
2025-12-07 2.326372 2.787307 3.388974 4.268980 5.599073 7.696497 11.721525
2025-12-14 2.220646 2.673473 3.269788 4.152033 5.506770 7.691422 12.036526
2025-12-21 2.155493 2.610737 3.216924 4.126947 5.553078 7.921316 12.864515
2025-12-28 2.110157 2.572407 3.195326 4.145437 5.668290 8.282363 14.056359
2026-01-04 2.074413 2.548422 3.196418 4.204049 5.864702 8.837844 15.918108
2026-01-11 2.039579 2.524452 3.196649 4.262079 6.068037 9.445902 18.182916
2026-01-18 1.997736 2.488355 3.176668 4.285746 6.212605 9.961753 20.455270
2026-01-25 1.945291 2.434869 3.128083 4.259533 6.264126 10.291937 22.353855
2026-02-01 1.874021 2.351883 3.031917 4.149730 6.151794 10.248192 23.011256
2026-02-08 1.817582 2.288348 2.962366 4.079851 6.108160 10.352923 24.267647
2026-02-15 1.790332 2.265919 2.953709 4.110466 6.257737 10.929443 27.718857
2026-02-22 1.758995 2.236294 2.932539 4.118152 6.362929 11.421107 31.280144
2026-03-01 1.698136 2.161527 2.839053 3.996670 6.200289 11.214182 31.407422
2026-03-08 1.644011 2.095386 2.757015 3.891631 6.064293 11.061139 31.772185
2026-03-15 1.612014 2.061076 2.723318 3.869074 6.094783 11.350420 34.785293